Sunday Edition of MMQB: NC-42 Pitt – 24

monday-morning-qbEditor’s Note: This is an early edition of the MMQB article because, much as Narduzzi is out hunting for his next great transfer QB, I’ll be Snipe Hunting with friends tomorrow and will be gone overnight.

At the risk of my repeating myself on these MMQB articles… I’m not sure anyone should be all that surprised at what happened on Saturday evening when the University of North Carolina (NC) beat Pitt by a score of 42- 24.

Yes, in the same way Louisville (UL) whooped us last Saturday the Tar Heels strung us along for a bit over two quarters until they said enough is enough and proved Pat Narduzzi to be an idiot when he says stuff like ‘at this point we are undefeated’.  Granted he meant only since the end of the UL game but still – a rather ridiculous statement to make at this particular point in his history with Pitt.

In the UL game the Cardinals waited until the 4th quarter to quit playing around and put up 17 points to win, the Tarheels did much the same when in disbelief after seeing the score 24-14 in favor of our guys they went on a tear and scored 21 unanswered points.  I’m just surprised that the game didn’t start out that way from the coin toss.

What happened was this; Narduzzi saw Slovis complete a few decent passes early on and said to himself “See, we have no other QB on the roster that can do what he does.” Well, one never knows, do one? But I bet either of our two viable QBs-in-waiting could have completed more than 50% of their passes and for at least one TD against that rather porous NC defense.

That NC passing defense was, going into the game, 121st in Passing Yards Allowed with 283.2 and 112th in Passing Efficiency Defense at 149.39. To make that more clear Slovis had only 236 yards and a horrid 109.1 efficiency rating (compared to Maye’s 188.9 efficiency rating). I know – lots of numbers, but in this case stats actually do tell the true story.

Here is what Slovis did, or didn’t do, depending if you are a believer in him or not. Obviously I’m not:slovis1-2

Yes – it’s a foggy graphic but suffice to say it shows just how continually poor Slovis has performed lately. That 45% completion rate really sucks but when you look at what he accomplished (or not) in the 2nd half it hurts even more – 6/13 (46%) for 67 yards and one sack… thank goodness for that 50 yarder to Jared Wayne to set up up last TD or the NFL would turn their backs on Kedon completely. 

Well, its easy to point fingers at one player but that really isn’t solely the case in this loss – as predicted our pass defense came up very short, like really, really short…miniscule actually… again this game.

Granted the NC QB, rsFR Drake Maye will be, perhaps, the second multiple Heisman winner in CFB history, he sure is playing like it.  Here is how he carved us up. Look at the two CFB QB ratings for the game – Maye played over twice as well as The Big Kedon! 

The Big Kedon! Yes – the NIL in action!

We saw what Maye did in HIS 2nd half and, folks, there-in tells the tale of how successful QBs react under pressure. He was cool, calm and moved his feet while still always looking downfield to complete his passes.  As compared to Slovis who seems to look to the sidelines in confusion if he’s forced to budge an inch.

Continue reading “Sunday Edition of MMQB: NC-42 Pitt – 24”

Prediction Thread: Pitt at North Carolina

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Well, this one is going to be interesting isn’t it? Pitt usually loses at least one game it shouldn’t with our loss to Georgia Tech (according to the odds makers) then wins one against some who looks a lot stronger than us. In this case that is the upcoming match with the NC Tarheels.

Let’s hope that annual upset win for Pitt happens in Chapel Hill on Saturday night. The kickoff is 8:00pm and our defense really must be ready to play if we have any chance with this one.

I did go back to our predictions against GT and UL and very few on here picked either of those two teams to beat us. Let’s see how that train of thought goes for this game.

Put down your prediction in the comments below please. 

Here is mine…We’ll score points against NC but it won’t be enough. The NC QB May is going to rip our pass defense apart with 4+ TDs. Slovis will play a bit better against a below average defense but in vain.

NC – 48   Pitt – 27

2022 Season Up Next: Pitt at North Carolina

Pitt is coming off an enraging, angering, incensing, exasperating, infuriating loss to Louisville. If that does not describe your feelings, let me know in a one “Word” comment.

Pitt now stands at 4 – 3 (1 – 2 Conf, 3-1 OOC) and is tied for fourth place in the Coastal.

North Carolina (UNC) is coming out of a Bye week at 6 – 1 (3-0 Conf, 3-1 OOC). They are odds on favorites to win the Coastal now that my preseason prediction of Miami is 3 – 4, (1-2 Conf, 2-2 OOC) with a tiebreaking loss to UNC.

I am now in color coding mode. Red is for Transfer Portal (TP) entries. Green is for season ending injuries. Names highlighted in yellow are defensive players starters. (Games started are next to players names.)

On to the review, starting with NCAA team stats through October 22’nd games. I am using a new NCAA stat list. Besides national FBS rankings, the new chart adds conference rankings. I also sorted the stats by type so that offense, defense. and miscellaneous stats are grouped.

Here are the NCAA offensive stats comparison after week 8 action:

Excluding the last four stats, the UNC offense is top four in conference except rushing offense. Outside of rushing offense, Pitt is truly mid or bottom of the pack.

The offense revolves around QB play. This week, I am showing some of the ACC QB stats I update weekly. I use ESPN game stats for my individual team stats but always verify with NCAA stats. Why, you ask? Because sites like ESPN, CBS, Team Ranking, and others use “game day” stats. Like HCPN, the statisticians watch the tape and update their stats with the NCAA after review. Those other sites do not pick up the changes.

Continue reading “2022 Season Up Next: Pitt at North Carolina”