2022 ACC Transfer Portal Activity

As we all know, the Transfer Portal (TP) is now ingrained in the fabric of college football recruiting. Not only are coaches making sales pitches to 16, 17, and 18 year old’s but have added the wooing of college age kids, including the players on their team, to their repertoire. All in the hopes of keeping or improving their employers standing in the sport of college football.

The recruiting site 24/7 now includes TP activities along with their “old school” team  recruiting results.

New rankings product released by 247Sports: Introducing the Transfer Team Rankings and Overall Team Rankings

Below is the 24/7 ACC “Recruit Team Ranking” for 2022. Pitt is last of the fourteen team ACC and comes in with a national rank of #73.

2022 Recruit ACC Football Team Rankings (247sports.com)

The “Transfer Team Ranking” includes only transfer recruits. Pitt currently has four and comes in with a national rank of #47.

2022 Transfer Football Team Rankings (247sports.com)

The “Overall Team Ranking” is a combination of the two links above. Including the four transfers, Pitt moves up to #63 in the national ranking and eleventh in the ACC.

2022 Overall Football Team Rankings (247sports.com)

2022 Overall ACC Football Team Rankings (247sports.com)

As I was writing the ACC Recruiting article, 24/7 published an article on their updated TP reporting. It includes totals for each P5 team on players entering the portal or they recruited from the portal.

Stock watch: Examining the Power Five’s Transfer Portal transactions (247sports.com)

At the bottom of the above link are the winners and losers of the TP by conference. Here is the ACC’s.

In and out: The ACC’s biggest winners and losers in the Transfer Portal (247sports.com)

I use this 24/7 site to gather my TP activity. Below is the link I use.

2022 College Football Transfer Portal (247sports.com)

Like most data it my not be the end all, be all for completeness. For an example, 24/7 still has ex-Pitt players Leslie Smith and Noah Palmer as not having new homes. I know Palmer is going to Duquesne and recorded that info. I heard Smith has a new home but not the name. So, my data does not reflect his decision.

If anyone has a link to the Rivals Transfer Portal site, please provide the link in a comment. Always good to have a second source of information to confirm. I just cannot find the Rivals TP site on PantherLair. It could be   behind a pay wall. As to 24/7, If Pitt’s is incomplete more are incomplete.

I will not be doing an ACC team by team listing of players. That is for another day. Instead, it is a summary of year to date activity and since the TP became institutionalized in 2018 for the 2019 season.

The  24/7 article (starts with “Stock watch”), that I linked above, is for TP activity through 2/20/2022. My article includes data after that date. Another reason they may not matchup is that 24/7 includes unranked walk-ons in their data. Mine does not but I include their name(s) in a  comment section on my spreadsheet.

After all that, here is the ACC summary TP activity by team. Any ranking data used comes from Rivals and is the players “high school” rating. I forgot to mention that 24/7 re ranks a TP entry based on his college play. That is why Kedon Slovis had a 24/7 HS rating of 0.8683 3-star and is now a 24/7 0.9100 4-star.

Since it takes me days just to draft an article, I usually cut of my charts at a certain point before I end writing. So, there are cutoff issues. For example, John Vardzel TP entry is not included in this data. Pitt actually has twelve entries not the eleven as it shows in the charts. Other schools (2) have a cutoff issue.

2022 ACC Transfer Portal Activity

Three items I find interesting.

First, the number of TP entries from Virginia (19). Virginia, like Duke, Miami, and Virginia Tech, hired new head coaches for the 2022 season. Usually, the TP does not light-up until the new coach finishes his first season. Players and new coaches access roles and either stay or leave. Unlike past teams, Virginia players bailed without giving the new coach a chance. Mendenhall was obviously will regarded by his players.

The second interesting item  is the number of 2021 class recruits who are looking for new homes. I just find it fascinating those players who signed with a team gave it only a season. It is not a new HC causing the problem. Virginia had three. The other three ACC teams with new HC’s had none. Only three of the twenty-one were transfers to ACC teams.

Lastly, is the number of players from Division 1 FCS teams who are transferring into ACC teams (9). Florida State hauled in a defensive end from Albany who 24/7 re-ranked as a 0.9400 4-star. He was unranked out of high school. I wonder if Todd Sibley (Pitt) and A.J. Beatty (North Carolina) is considered a fair trade.

The next chart is a 4 year history of TP activity by school. The top chart is for those who transferred “out.” I highlighted those teams who had 40+ transfers in the three and a half years. I also highlighted the two teams with the fewest. You can see Virginia transfer losses are an anomaly with the hiring of a new HC.

The second chart are for transfers “in.” It also includes a net gain/loss of players.

Reading into the numbers, Clemson and North Carolina are only using the TP to fill immediate needs. Clemson picked up their first portal acquisition this year to fill a QB depth issue. UNC is selectively patching holes. Make what you wish of the net outflow but remember the 85 man roster requirement and it effect of the TP.

Here is a link to the FAQ about TP eligibility and requirements.

OneTime_Transfer.pdf (ncaa.org)

Not covered in that NCAA FAQ link is a new rule. In order to help teams with roster management, the NCAA has put in timelines. The new NCAA rule establishes a May first deadline for players to enter the TP to have immediate eligibilty for the upcoming  season. There is a July first waiver for the upcoming 2022 season.

That wraps up the TP review.

2022 ACC Recruiting and More

The 2022 recruiting season is basically over. There are still two unsigned 5-stars. There are no unsigned 4-stars in the Rivals 250.

For the last 4 or 5 years I have been gathering recruiting data for the 65 P5 teams. I use Rivals data. Yes, there are some other sites (24/7, 24/7 composite, ESPN, and On3) but to be consistent and because I consider Rivals the easiest to understand & duplicate, I use Rivals.

For those of you who are not steeped in the intricacies of Rivals ranking here is this explanation from Rivals: https://n.rivals.com/news/rivals-com-football-team-recruiting-rankings-formula

The chart (Pitt’s) below shows the basic Rivals formula at work. All the key points are covered – Stars (5 thru 2), Rivals Rating ( 6.1 thru 5.2), Points awarded (150 to 15). The only thing missing are Rivals bonus points awarded for a recruit listed in their top 250. Unlike the 2021 class, both of Pitt’s 4 stars were not in the top 250.

For those interested in the math behind the chart, here is a simple explanation:

  1. Avg Star Ranking – Multiply your total number of 5-stars by five, your total number of 4-stars by 4 and do the same for the 3 and 2-stars. Sum those numbers and divide by the total number of recruits. Pitt’s cumulative stars are 37. Divided by 12 gives a 3.08 average star ranking. Rivals includes all committed recruits in this ranking be it 29 (Texas A&M, Georgia) or seven (Kansas).
  2. Rival Points Ranking (20 or less commits) – Multiply the number of recruits in the assigned Rivals “Rating” (6.1 down to 5.2) by the assigned “Points” for that “Rating”( 150 down to 15). (Example: Pitt’s two 4-stars have a rating of 5.8.  Multiply the assigned “Points” (105)  by two (recruits) for a total of 210.) Sum the individual Ratings and you have the basis for how Rivals ranks team except for:
  3. Rivals Points Ranking (21 or more commits) – Rivals only uses a team’s 20 top rated commits in calculating a team’s points. Calculation is the same as above bullet point #2 but includes only the top 20 commits.
  4. In addition, Rivals awards bonus points for commits in the Rivals 250. These points are awarded in addition to the calculated points in bullet points 2 or 3. The points awarded range from 100 for the number one recruit down to 3 points for numbers 246 thru 250.
  5. Numerical Rivals Ranking (NRR) – This is my attempt at judging the overall quality of a team’s commits. It uses Rivals Ratings (61 thru 5.2) as the basis. It sums the value of each rating and divides by the total commits. In Pitt’s case, the value is 5.608.

I’m sorry for the long winded explanation. In the future (if I’m still doing a recruiting recap), I will just throw in a link to this article.

Continue reading “2022 ACC Recruiting and More”

A Real Final Thing…

This is our son’s, Chance Kohberger, obituary. I hope this shows our POV family even a little bit of what a good man he was – I wanted to share it with you all as you have been so supportive over the last four months.

Chance Kohberger passed away on February 11, 2022 after a four-month battle with cancer. On June 14, 1983 at Bethesda Naval Hospital in Bethesda, Maryland, he was born three months prematurely to Raejean and Reed Kohberger. As the child of a military family, he lived in many different places, including Virginia, Alaska, Washington State, Guam, New York City, Puerto Rico and Columbia, Maryland.

Chance was an avid gamer, film aficionado, and pop culture memorabilia collector. He loved his cats, especially Oscar. He took good care of the people around him, was a dear and loyal friend to many wherever he traveled and was the greatest giver of gifts that ever lived. He worked hard as a union employee of Giant Foods for eighteen years. He will be remembered fondly by those who knew him.

He is survived by his parents, LCDR Reed Kohberger and Raejean Kohberger; his younger sibling, Pauli Kohberger, and their husband, Sam Kaplan; his older brother, Robert Kimo Johnson; his oldest brother, Douglas Gorai; and his companion, Tempest Fields.

He is, and will always be, sadly missed. In lieu of services, there will be a Celebration of Life for Chance at a venue in Columbia, Maryland, when it is appropriate to do so post-COVID.