Last week, our Pitt Panthers won a lackluster but dominating game against the Syracuse Orange 31 – 14. It was not the fireworks display we had seen in the past. But there was no worry or concern on my part. This was my attitude even as Syracuse methodically worked down the field on their first drive. It was just a matter of time before Pitt was victorious.
The Wake Forest Demon Deacons (Wake, Dec’s) were not in the same position as Pitt. They had to win to clinch the Atlantic Division. They won convincingly over Boston College 41 – 10.
On to the stats review. ACC standings and Wake’s and Pitt’s year to date schedules.
Ten teams are bowl eligible. Only Virginia Tech won their sixth game last week. For bowl selections, the ACC one game jump rule is in effect. None of the nine or 10 win games winners can be jumped over for a tier one bowl.
Common opponents are Virginia, Duke, North Carolina, Syracuse, and Clemson. Both teams can score. Pitt is better at scoring defense.
The ACC has released the All ACC football team selections. Here are Wake’s and Pitt’s:
There is a total of 157 honorees. Pitt has 21. Clemson (16) and Wake (15). Some honorees were named to more than one position. Jordan Addison was 1’st team Wide Receiver. He also was selected 3’rd team AP (all purpose-WR, RB, kickoff/punt returner).
Here are the NCAA stats for team and individual comparison. Those highlighted in yellow are what I consider are Wake advantages.
I will be highlighting Transfer Portal pick-ups in green and those who have entered the portal in light orange. I will be using light blue to identify All ACC honorees. I’m not up to date on injuries.
Wake Forest like Pitt lives by the pass. They are not good at stopping the rush but are better at defending the pass.
On to the individual stats. Of course, starting with the QB’s.
First Team All ACC QB (Pickett) versus second team All ACC QB (Hartman).
Really remarkable close stats. Both teams have a trio of RB’s with similar overall results. The main rushing difference is QB S. Hartman with 121 yards and six touchdowns more than K. Pickett.
A large difference is that Wake has two receivers with over 1,000 receiving yards. But Wake does not use their TE’s and RB’s like Pitt.
Games played and started for offensive linemen.
Wake’s starting five has only missed one start. How do they compare against Pitt’s All ACC five?
Old school stats. How about the new ones?
Pitt’s Oline as a percentage is better for both sacks and TFL’s. Is it statistically significant? I am not up-to-date on my statistics of stats. I think that was one of the things I lost when I remembered the Hager Twins concert.
Some defensive individual stats. From ESPN team stats and compared to NCAA statistics for accuracy.
I used the top 17 in tackles for both Pitt and Wake.
The color coding favors Pitt’s defense.
Wake has 49 players make a defensive stat. Ten were offensive players. Pitt’s numbers are 48 and six.
Last but not least, turnover margins.
The Dec’s are pretty good at standing up a runner or receiver and striping and recovering the resulting fumble.
Two excellent offenses are facing off in this championship game. One team is heading to Atlanta (Peach) or Phoenix (Fiesta). The other will likely end up in San Diego (Holiday). Pitt is not going to San Diego.
Pitt 41 – Wake Forest 37