Notre Dame at Pitt Prediction Thread

I’m pressed for time so not a lot of meat on the bone here.

With that being said … I don’t think Notre Dame is as good as advertised, and we know Pitt always plays them tough.

We do know how bad Pitt is though … at least on offense. As does the rest of the world. Also I don’t see Pitt being able to fix its coverage issues.

And let’s not start in on the officiating

The Irish get lucky again.

Pitt 13, Notre Dame 20

157 thoughts on “Notre Dame at Pitt Prediction Thread

  1. This is the Domers first away game. This is the first game with pitt fans in the stands. Don’t under estimate the power of supporters. And the Irish luck long ran out after holtz.

    Pitt matches up well
    Kelly is not a good coach
    Pitt is hungrier.

    Pitt 24
    Domers 17

    Easy money

    Liked by 1 person

  2. Good SWPA football weather for tomorrow…cloudy and 55 degrees.
    Good guys win 20-13.
    Izzy scores on a wheel route.
    Pitt only has 3 penalties so Tex only hits me with 3 peanuts!
    Win prompts impromptu tailgating…many arrested.
    Scooters arrest video goes viral.

    Liked by 5 people

    1. Awesome post Fran. Especially the Scooter forecast!

      I’ll be in Section 133 with my son; out of range for Tex… 😊

      Go Pitt.

      Like

  3. Yellen gives up the ball much too easily. I’m expecting he will be sacked at least 4 times and lose the football at least twice. ND 27 Pitt 6.

    Like

  4. Check this out from Paul Zeise (if it hasn’t been posted yet):

    “Andy: If you were Pickett, why would you stay another year? He has the potential to be a backup NFL QB in my opinion and I feel like staying another year could only really hurt his draft stock given that Pitt is most likely to be weaker than they are this year.

    Zeise: If I were Kenny Pickett I would not come back this year until I’m 100 percent healthy. Then I would look into grad transferring somewhere that needs a QB that throws the ball a lot. And I would try and improve my draft stock while playing in an offense that lets me throw the ball, has a good offensive line and wins.

    Can’t say that’s bad advice. If we were so sure ‘this was the year’ before this season and keep playing like we have been then next year could be a dumpster fire.

    Liked by 3 people

    1. What city is going to host a bowl game when no fans can come and the players are to be quarantined? Could be that only the playoff and Rose Bowls will be played.

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  5. It seems that Pickett has peaked. I’m not sure what he can or cannot do to improve his draft status. Under the Pitt offense the past two years Pickett is among the nation’s leaders in passing attempts, and if not for a weak OL and the receiver drops he would have better statistics. It is not a given that transferring to another school would produce better results for him or move him up in the draft. I think his best option is to enter the NFL draft after this year.

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  6. I never pick us to lose to PSU, ND or WV. All ACC teams bowl eligible. What bowl will want us if fans are permitted? PN needs this game desperately.

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  7. ND has a pretty good defense and an excellent rushing game:

    Total Defense 11th 300.8
    Rushing Defense 19th 107.5
    Passing Yards Allowed 18th 193.3
    Team Passing Efficiency Defense 8th 113.89
    Scoring Defense 4th 11.5

    They are also #2 in 3rd down conversion defense at 20% which is really excellent… Since suck at converting at only 30% I don’t see many long sustained drives chewing up clock on our part.

    We ain’t going to score that much tomorrow. They are good at keeping scores low and we are not at scoring so we probably won’t score over 17 points. ND scores 33 ppg.

    They will complete some longer (seam to TE) passes getting our LBs to drop into coverage then that open up their run game for some big chunks once past our DL.

    We are great at sacking the QB; they are great at protecting the QB giving up only 4 sacks in 4 games.

    Their depth talent level is much better that ours and that might really come into play in the 2nd half.

    I’ll say the slide continues with:

    ND 31
    Pitt 17

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    1. Reed, what’s PITT’s defensive stats by comparison? I’m too lazy to look it up and to go looking for Richards stats. I thought I read where PITT is still highly ranked?

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    1. Dan, how is ND’s secondary suspect? I think they have played well in that regard. Now, if Whipple wakes up from his traditional game day fugue and incorporates a TE for more than two catches in one game then maybe…

      But as it stands now our TEs have a total of 7 catches in three games.

      Like

      1. Mark Whipple ought to start a personal training business after this season for those of us in the 30 plus age range. His basic exercise, “The Whip,” whips you into shape by doing a series of 30 yard jogs to him, then to a spot, and then back to him again…followed by eight jumping jacks in honor of his favorite all-time athlete Kenny Pickett.

        Liked by 2 people

  8. I think Notre Dame is ranked so high based upon reputation. If the quality of their opponents are considered they would be 7-10 positions down in the standing. Their quarterback is no star. Pitts defense and their offensive line will be the critical battle. Whipple’s strategy to incorporate passing in a way to open up the run could counter the major weakness of the offense. This is what will turn the game one way or the other. Even without much confidence in Whipple I think Pitt can pull off an upset. 19-14 off Kessman’s leg.

    Liked by 2 people

  9. Pitt Thoughts:

    .. Love the student athlete – Go PITT
    .. Have to remember to pick up Tums today for the ND game…… used up prior Costco sized bottle
    .. Pitt recruits IMO have improved – my basis is the average offer sheet has a higher percentage of higher caliber football programs
    .. Exception to above – Tight End although Krull could come on by next year. If he comes back.
    .. Was excited when Mark Whipple came on board – an attempt to bring PITT closer to a 21st century offense. Is the issue: Play calling, OL/no run game, TE/limited talent, dropped passes/ by a variety of players, penalties – WOW – When can we put it all together ? ?
    — I believe PN will stay for his whole contract – no buyout.
    — There will be many players from this team in the NFL.

    ND vs PITT Prediction:
    PITT – 31
    ND – 30

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  10. here is more data ….

    — since 2000, Pitt is 7-1 against the spread vs Top 5 teams
    — B Kelly at ND is 1-4 against the spread vs Pitt
    — ND looked sluggish a week ago and this will be their 1st away game
    — Pitt has a real good recent history vs undefeated highly ranked teams
    — ND currently has the longest unbeaten streak at 10 games; Pitt stopped the most recent longest reg season unbeaten streak a year ago vs UCF

    all of which is why I am going with Irish … 20-12

    You can make a case that last week ND was looking past LVille to their 1st road game, and with GT next week, they will be solely focused tomorrow

    And just like last week, there is a disparity in talent. Remember, this is the team that didn’t even use Jurkovec

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  11. Pitt wins 24-20

    Our D is better than their D.

    Offenses are fairly close except at RB/OL where ND has the edge.

    ST – even

    Coaching – even

    Yellen is screaming at me with victory.

    EE who wants an entertaining game, but more importantly a W.

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    1. Cracked me up about ND having the edge at RB/OL (unless sarcasm intended). Josh Lugg, a SR now, is still 2nd string in the OL, he’ll play in the pros. Even CMU would have the edge at those positions.

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  12. This is IT for Pitt. Chinese General Sun Tzu says “put your army with its back to the river and they will fight like possessed demons” Either we have a team or we don’t. ND game will tell.

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  13. PITT could play an inspiring game sticking with ND step for step maybe even out playing ND parts of the game but if they lose by one point there are back to being the red headed stepchilds of many and relegated back to bum status. It’s a senseless exercise for me to give a prediction. I’m just thankful to watch the game tomorrow. Hope the young men do PITT fans proud. H2P!

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  14. I just cannot see them rising up from the pool of mediocrity to beat the Irish.

    It’s close for a half but due to lack of a running game and Narduzzi’s propensity to not adjust it’s:

    Irish 27

    The fighting Narduzzi’s 9

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  15. Notre Dame has a game film study on Yellen. I wouldn’t expect too much from him.

    PITT will lose the game ND is just too strong.

    PITT can’t go three and out deep in their own territory, they need to at least flip the field all day long. PITT needs to make this game a chess match and remain patient.

    Paris Ford needs to make the sacrifice and knock Book out of the game early.

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  16. Reed this year is the dumpster fire. Next year there won’t be one because after this year it will have burned to the ground. We are reaping the harvest of Narduzzi’s inability to recruit for the O-line and other critical offensive positions. Still believe we are headed to 4 & 7. Per my previous post I don’t believe we are an upset program, just the benefactor of teams looking past us. ND 31 Pitt 9.

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  17. I think the players will be very excited to see parents, friends, students and fans in the stands. Expect a fast start by Pitt and a strong finish. Game might come down to a field goal. But I feel good about this one. Similar feeling I had with the 42-39 Nitter game. This one will be much lower scoring though.

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  18. I expect to see ND QB Book play a scrambling game reminiscent of a “Troy-Nunes-performance” against the Panthers. Older Pitt fans know that is not a good thing…

    ND 26
    Pitt 16

    Go Pitt.

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    1. I once tried to jump into background during the Troy Nunes post game interview on the field at Pitt stadium after a particularly frustrating loss. The espn lackey responsible for not letting drunken students do That Sort Of Thing had to basically wrestle me – almost to the ground. I’ll always remember him hissing “Get…out…of…the…frame”

      Liked by 6 people

  19. Two northern teams, the acc refs won’t know who to who to screw over. Maybe there will be an anti catholic among them and help out Pitt. Naw, won’t happen.

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  20. Like

  21. The Narudzzi paranoia has reached defcon-4

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    1. Story goes like this………. Jackie at the top of a scissor lift with binoculars sees two people sitting on a park bench about a mile away in Schenley Park. Jackie orders them removed, turns out they were a young couple enjoying a day in the park. Narduzzi didn’t event paranoia.

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      1. When I was a student (77-81 lucky me) I used to sit in the Pitt Stadium “luxury boxes” sometimes and watch practice. Nobody ever bothered me.

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  22. I hate to do this again but I picking PITT. No score predictions. My reasons are this, we always play ND close. this is not Miami, we don’t play 3 bad games in a row. pride can come into play, and finally WE”RE PITT WE DO THE UNEXPECTED.

    Liked by 1 person

  23. Pitt might have a chance if KP started and we had a very good O-line. Our O-line will get destroyed in this game. Also, we have no running game and our RZ offense is garbage (no TE). .

    ND – 31
    Pitt – 15

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  24. Izzy and Camp are supposed to play. The oline puts on their big boy pants and comes to play. Fewer dropped passes, Pitt wins.

    24 to 17

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  25. Pitt will win this game. Here’s why we blow them out.

    Brian Kelly seems to coach scared. In his ten road openers, he is 5-5. A COVID Road opener in Pennsylvania is the difference. Indiana is more relaxed about COVID, so we need to be sure that all Pitt Administrators hassle the ND players at every turn, getting them to lose focus.

    Whilst coaching the domers against Pitt six times, he has negotiated a 5-1 record, but only one of those games has been by more than one score.

    I expect ND to use the dreaded wheel route against us out of multiple sets. I see this mainly in the red their zone to Kyren Williams to set up a qb sneak or two from the domeheads. I struggle with Pitt’s perceived strength against the run numbers. Part of the reason we are ranked so high is because sack yardage comes off the total run yards and makes us look better. I think Kyren Williams has a big day for the domers, but gets hit really hard, maybe by Dennis, which shifts momentum.

    Okay, I had to make up the last part so we could somehow win. Low scoring is the name of the game here. It has to be in order for Pitt to win. Book goes deep early (unsuccessfuly), but it is used to keep our safeties from supporting the run. Book reminds me of our old qb that runs before he should. He will roll out alot to get more time and pt pressure on our db”s. Fortunately today he is off the mark. ND OL run game gets yards but they struggle inside the red zone. Book does get yards running too.

    I think Yellen does okay but gets dinged up. Aaron Beville Island comes in and bosticks our way to a Pitt victory 17-16. I’ll have another drink now.

    Liked by 1 person

    1. Huff, I was just thinking the other day that Kelly’s last game at Cincy was the 45-44 game when he was considered an offensive guru. But now he has turned Wanny-like, trying not to lose

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      1. Yeah, Kellys an oddball. Hopefully he coaches tight Saturday and our coach, coaches loose. Kelly will go for it on an early 4th and 6, we will be offside and then they run for the 1st down.

        Look, we have nothing to lose here. If we play our best and ND plays their best, we lose. We have to assume that ND plays good so we gotta play gooder. <—-love that edumacation! English Dept will be proudly! lol.

        Like

    1. Keep you eyes on #3’s for Pitt. Big games for both tomorrow. One to continue to impress the All-American panel and the other to have a winning impact in front of his hometown crowd.

      Go Pitt!

      Like

  26. We wi because of a new secret weapon…PINE TAR…. no dropped balls and only 2 penalties for 10 yards…PITT nicks the Micks- PITT 22 ( TD and 5 FGs) Irish Stout 17.

    Liked by 1 person

  27. off topic but Arizona and Sean Miller finally has received the NCAA Notice of Allegations. If found guilty of Level I violations, Arizona could be hit with a postseason ban, loss of scholarships, recruiting visit restrictions, a head coach suspension, and/or show-cause penalties.

    Funny thing is that Sean reached an Elite 8 and came a Levance Fields 3-pointer of getting there a second time while at Xavier. And he never exceeded that while at Arizona even with all those blue chippers

    Like

  28. Close game but the ACC refs make sure the team that volunteered to join the conference for one year stays undefeated. Don’t ND-Clemson play soon? You think the ACC wants the Irish to have one loss going into that one?

    Maybe it won’t matter as the mush pit O-line of the Panthers keeps the offense from doing anything. Guessing Mack drops a big pass and I will continue to read he will go to the NFL instead of coming back for another season.

    Liked by 1 person

  29. For Pitt to win, they need to shake things up on Offense.

    Time for probably the best POWER Back and FASTEST Back to be incorporated into the game plan. That would be Mr. Sibley and Mr. Izzy.

    This is not hard.

    Liked by 5 people

  30. I cannot envision a Pitt win with a young backup QB, no running game, and no effective TE to act as a safety valve for the young backup QB. I either see a blow out loss or a somehow a close heartbreaker when Kessman shanks another one with a chance to win at the end. I’d love to be more positive but a combination of winnable losses and some really undisciplined play that led to those losses have sapped me of any positivity about the team right now.

    That said, I’m hoping for great weather for those attending from near and far and another classic Pitt upset…with Pedo falling at Indiana so I could rub it in my in-laws faces.

    Liked by 3 people

  31. Narduzzi’s failure to recruit top rated OLs is a direct result of his hands off attitude towards the offense. If Whipple also neglects recruiting it is not surprising that an OL coach alone is unable to recruit 4 star linemen. What story can he tell about commitment to the offense when the HC and OC don’t get involved in recruiting ?

    Like

    1. Voice — I’m skeptical of your reasoning. Duzz certainly knows he needs decent linemen on both sides of the ball.

      Go Pitt.

      Like

  32. Well here are my plans for the game tomorrow if anyone cares. Enjoy the hell out of the game and hope for reports from my friends down at the game. Also I hope for a well played game by PITT! What else can you ask for out of life?

    Menu? leftover pizza and wings and a few bud lights, easy peezy.

    Liked by 3 people

    1. You’ll be getting a report from me Ike. The Texan with the bag of peanuts. Much to Frans displeasure unless Pitt solves their issue with penalties.

      Like

      1. Tex, I know you’re joking but be kind to my good friend Fran. You enjoy your return home and enjoy the game as well. Eat the peanuts cause I heard the squirrel are looking for you…. They think you’re nuts. 🙂 Keep me updated. Have fun and sorry to have missed you.

        Liked by 1 person

          1. Interesting Reed, Edgar reincarnated.

            Our house is like Alice in Wonderland with the corn, birdseed and all the food my wife puts out. Nothing more amazing to look at than the amount of Cardinals in the bare trees in the winter. Such a beautiful sight to see. We’ve counted up as many as the high teens.

            Like

    2. Did you make those wings, ike? Maybe with your own special sauce? Boy, nothing like college football to bring out the best in tailgate food! 🙂

      Like

  33. Anyone have a problem downloading their tickets to their phone. I just created an account on the Pitt app, but now it won’t recognize it. Curses…

    Liked by 1 person

    1. I got it. I thought I was creating a new account on this Pitt Gameday app, with it’s own password – but it wanted my old Pitt ticket office password…

      Liked by 3 people

  34. I think this is a typical overrated ND team. They can run the ball, but won’t hit their average against the Pitt D. Unfortunately, our offense will do even less than theirs. I call it a close game, with Pitt finding a way to lose:

    Pitt 13
    ND 17

    Like

  35. Have fun at the game tomorrow. I’ll miss you guys, and especially will miss meeting Tex. I was going to wear a yellow shirt in his honor… haha. Bring us a winner guys! H2P!!

    Liked by 4 people

      1. Question Huff, if PITT is only permitted to have 5,500 people in the stadium and they use their allotment………… is that a sellout?

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        1. Yes, this will be the first time that the season ticketholders will be responsible for filling every available seat! Well, that’s how the athletic department will say it. A sellout!!

          Tex in a yellow blouse just makes me chuckle.

          Like

  36. What happened to last year’s backup Nick Patti?Why isn’t he getting a fair shake here.He played well in the UCF game last year,  won the UD game after finding out 20 minutes before  the game he was starting. Wouldn’t he know Whipples complicated offense better than Yellen with such a short summer practice ?H2PSent from my Verizon, Samsung Galaxy smartphone

    Like

    1. Apologies I wasn’t able to approve your comment earlier wiggs. Future comments should auto approve. Thanks for posting. From what I hear Patti is running the scout team…

      Like

  37. MM==> “I don’t think Notre Dame is as good as advertised, and we know Pitt always plays them tough.
    We do know how bad Pitt is though”

    Unfortunately…Pitt is bad ..and getting BADDER.

    ND 24
    Pitt 16

    Same “script” for Pitt as the last several games….

    ineffective running game
    dropped passes
    red zone ineffectiveness (see above score – 3FG’s)
    penalties, penalties
    no TE
    all symptomatic of a Whipple-offense
    ….and on defense….lack of a smart/mobile, middle LB that can cover a seam route

    I hope that I’m wrong. No team that I despise more than the arrogant, Cryin’ Irush

    HTP!

    Like

    1. Lol – I’ll try to paraphrase for you Joe –

      PITT CANNOT AFFORD TO LOSE FOUR IN A ROW!

      NEITHER CAN NARDUZZI…

      EE helping a friend.

      Like

      1. Narduzzi can go 4-7 and the same next year and not be in trouble. Pitt BOT is perfectly fine with FB being mediocre for the next 100 years.

        Like

    1. Reed

      I think that context is important with your post. There are a pile of teams on that list that haven’t played a game yet. Pitt will continue to drop as the season progresses ( i don’t expect too many more wins this year) and other teams start to play their games. It is the epitome of mediocrity.

      Like

  38. re Joeybats post above: If I could do it I would post the gif of Richard Pryor and Gene Wilder walking in prison…”thats right, WE BAD”

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  39. I picked ND by 14 points. That said I would not be shocked if we win…I just feel that Narduzzi will be out coached on in-game decision making and that Whipple won’t figure out how to be effective against a very good defense. By far the best defense we have faced to date.

    I have no confidence at all in Whipple to score winning level points or to come from behind to WIN (not to lose by one point but to win)

    Love to see us at 4-3 tonight. Fingers crossed..

    Like

    1. Whipple lit up Georgia a few years ago when he was HC/OC at UMass and Georgia had a very good D.

      We shall see today if he can Whip up an offensive game plan to counter the nd D.

      Like

  40. —Oddly enough, my biggest concern today is the ND Oline blocking our Dline. Last year’s BC game comes to mind.

    —Will there be a reception line to say hello to Texas Panther? If so, where and when? 👍

    Go Pitt.

    Like

  41. Reed, it is good to see you commenting again.

    Going to my granddaughter’s third birthday party today, not too upset to miss all/most of the game.

    Since ND was hit pretty hard with Covid wondering if that has affected their performance.

    Pitt is usually a remedy for the other teams poor performance (ie NCST) and a host of others.

    I think our guys will get up for the game, just don’t think it will be enough.

    Refs should be on our side since the ACC wants UNC vs Clemson in the title game.

    Since UNC has already screwed the pooch, they need ND losses.

    Stay safe out there guys, we need no more POV Covid casualties.

    Will the Pitt Band or Cheerleaders be attending?

    Like

  42. 12:00 today on ESPN. UNC vs NC State sounds interesting. Been looking at places in Shallote NC. If I can talk my wife into it. Anyone familiar?

    Like

    1. Unlike you, I had to google Shalotte, NC & not rely on you. 😂

      Thought it was near the coast up by BigB. But turns out nearer to Little River – North Myrtle Beach then Wilmington.

      Have a great Day. I am going upscale on my tailgate – Korean Beef stir fry.

      Like

  43. Pitt announced NO Pitt players will be out of todays game because of Covid. Now if about 15 ND players are out because of Covid we make this a game.

    Liked by 1 person

  44. First prediction of the year. And it doesn’t look good for the Nardoozi’s. Can’t imagine ND being terrible, as they were last week, two weeks in a row. Plus don’t think the ACC wants to screw up the big up the Big Saturday Night game between Clemson & ND.

    Pitt gets Whippled……38-15. The 15 represents 5 FG’s as Whipple’s 1990’s offense implodes
    inside the 25.

    Liked by 1 person

  45. Erie, I understand your point that Narduzzi realizes his OL sucks, and he might even be a bit worried about it since his mediocre win totals could be potentially job threatening. But why hasn’t he landed even one 4 star OL in 6-7 years with different OCs?

    I also wonder if Whipple is doing any recruiting. Can any P5 team afford to have their OC sitting on the recruiting sidelines? I’m convinced that Narduzzi’s downfall will be his poor recruiting, although the upcoming class seems to be better. But he might not last to see the fruits of this year’s effort.

    Like

  46. Most are predicting, quite correctly, Pitt losing by a bunch. For all those that are hopeful that Pitt may/can win, let me set you straight! PITT IS GOING TO LOSE TODAY. DO NOT HAVE ANY HOPES FOR A WIN. That is my good deed for the day.

    Pitt’s volleyball team is coming around. After the horrible two games at Syracuse, they are finding their new identity. The loss of the core of seniors will do that. We have several good young players in Gomez and Nwokolo. Jury is still out on the Jucco player of the year though. Our libero, Popovic, is not as good as the one we had last year. Coach Fisher before the Syracuse games was still trying to figure out his lineup. Unlike our football coach, he was able to decide who goes where. They should have not let the first game against Notre Dame slip away from them after taking the first 2 sets only to lose the last 3. They handed Notre Dame their first loss, 3-1, in the second game and swept Louisville last night. Looking forward to the spring season. Annie was right to have faith in them after Syracuse.

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  47. Pitt wearing the grays today. Bad move. I think the brighter uniforms help the QB find his receivers — at least that’s what I’d want as a QB…

    Go Pitt.

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    1. Absurd. We just spent a lot of money going to some really nice duds and what happens, not good enough. They have to go to some drab fashion.

      Like

    2. Maybe they think since it’s a gray and drab day they’ll blend in and ND won’t see them coming. I jest of course. YUCK! One more reason not to watch. Poor Tex. Comes all this way just to see crappy uniforms. A win would help alleviate the eye sore.

      Like

  48. ND has a kicking machine at the 45 yard line – projecting footballs into the air and into the end zone for their kick returners. It’s run by some co-eds.

    Never noticed anyone doing that before….

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  49. Pitt is crap 3rd Uniform.
    Way to build the brand
    National tv
    Nobody even knows it is Pitt.
    They just can’t help but f ck up everything.

    Like

  50. Krull not in uniform but out on the field doing some encouraging… Left knee is wrapped, but he is moving around on it. Might be close to coming back???

    ND QBs throwing some nice 30-yard passes down the sideline in warmups. Nice arc on the ball and on target….

    Go Pitt.

    Go Pitt.

    Like

  51. Pickett out and in a BOOT today. He may be done for the year with the possibility he ends up going the Grad Transfer route to a team that actually has a decent OL.—-Green out, Sibley out also.

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  52. I know ND’s roster is loaded, but I count 16 Seniors on the starting 22. That is a mature and experienced group .PITT is playing for pride and I haven’t seen any quit in this team. There might be a hint of desperation among the coaches and players; enough that they put it together one time collectively. PITT23-20.

    Like

  53. Disagreeing with Reed here, it’s my understanding that ALL P-5 players and probably all players get a free year not counted towards eligibility.

    Like

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