POV’s Pitt – Virginia Gameday Thread

Here are the all-informative Game Notes for this afternoon…

Alright then… it’s that day of the week for Pitt football, except for when we play North Carolina on Thursday evening, but I digress.  Todays match is the Pitt Panthers vs the Virginia Cavaliers, with VA getting 1 point on the betting line, down from an earlier 3 points I believe.  Interestingly on the season to date Pitt is 1-6-1 for the over/under scores due to our poor offense.

I picked Pitt to win, and get our 4th in that column, on  the strength of the fact that I have picked them to lose almost all the games so far so I thought I’d mix it up a bit.  That is the way the season is going for me – I can’t get a solid grasp on either the offense or the defense and we are already eight games into the season with a 3-5 record.

I will say this though – our Panthers’ 1.43 yards per carry on 55 rushes for our offense last week (when you take out Hall’s two big TD runs) scares me.  It was less than half of what we had been averaging… a poor 3.5 all season prior to playing Duke.  I just don’t think Ben DiNucci can get this team a win if we revert back to that poor rushing production again.

Last week we saw hall as the featured runner with Ollison in a blocking H-Back role. However, if it is a mudder day out there I think we’ll see the bigger, stronger Ollison get more carries than he has been getting over the last few games.

Since the season opener we have seen his carries do this; 22 against YSU then 15, 7, 7, 6, 6, 2 and 3 carries the last week. He’s at 4.2 ypc and tied with Hall with four rushing TDs. I really felt that we’d be able to get back his 2015 production this year but with the QB shakeup and poor OL play that won’t happen.

I do look at this matchup and wonder if VA’s QB is going to have a field day against us.  I know VA’s Kurt Benkert’s stats aren’t off the charts but over the last two years our pass defense has tended to make superstars out of the opposing QBs.

PASSING STATISTICS For Virginia’s Starting QB
NAME CMP ATT YDS CMP% YDS/A TD INT RAT
Kurt Benkert 175 281 1806 62.3 6.43 15 4 131.0

If it is indeed as sloppy as we think it may be out there this afternoon then the score will remain low. That is when turnovers are magnified into game changing plays.  Benkert doesn’t throw INTs much – just 1 out of every 70 attempts.  That is superb and on Pitt’s side of that equation DiNucci is one out of 38 passes attempted.

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